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An asteroid occultation prediction predicts the path of the asteroid's shadow on the earth. Although new instrumentation has provided significant advances in recent years, the positional accuracy for both asteroids and stars is still relatively large compared to the size of an asteroid. As a result, we can only make a statistical prediction of the path of an asteroid occultation. The uncertainty in the path's location depends on the uncertainty in the position of the star and the position of the asteroid. Therefore, the likelihood of seeing an asteroid occultation from a location in the predicted path is different for each occultation event.